SDS 604: Ignition: A Landmark Nuclear Fusion Milestone is Achieved

Podcast Guest: Jon Krohn

August 25, 2022

Welcome back to the Five-Minute Friday episode of the SuperDataScience podcast!

This week, Jon explores the results from a 2021 experiment that achieved the landmark milestone of nuclear fusion ignition, and what that means for the future.
 

This week’s Five-Minute Friday episode takes a slight departure from data science and focuses on another exciting and innovative field: nuclear fusion energy. If you’re unfamiliar with the concept, our Episode #533, wherein former fusion researcher Dr. Brett Tully shares his expertise on the topic, should be of great interest to you.
 
For over 50 years, researchers have committed to achieving fusion ignition–a critical intermediate step toward nuclear fusion that produces a self-sustaining reaction, moving us closer to replicating the nuclear fusion reaction that powers the Sun.  
Last week, it was confirmed that researchers at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) in California were able to achieve this goal for the first time in the lab on August 8th, 2021. The discouraging news, however, is that they’re unsure how to recreate the results, despite replicating the experiment four times. Regardless, this development signals significant progress, and the researchers at NIF are currently perfecting their processes to achieve ignition once again and sustain nuclear fusion for longer. Moreover, France’s International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) is working on a similar achievement called breakeven (where a fusion reaction outputs more total energy than it takes to run the experiment) by 2025.
Tune in to learn more about NIF’s significant achievement.
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Podcast Transcript

(00:06):
This is Five-Minute Friday on Nuclear Fusion Ignition.

(00:19):
The title of this podcast is SuperDataScience so naturally our episodes typically focus on the field of data science, particularly topics like machine learning and artificial intelligence. Given your interest in these world-changing technological topics, I feel pretty safe assuming that you’re interested in other technologies that have the capacity to dramatically change the world for the better.
(00:44):
Alongside A.I., I can think of no more promising an innovation than nuclear fusion energy. For a detailed introduction to nuclear fusion, you can refer back to episode #533, wherein former fusion researcher Dr. Brett Tully gives us an overview of nuclear fusion with a particular focus on how data science is making an impact on the energy technology. In a nutshell, our current nuclear reactors work in a completely different way. Today’s reactors rely on nuclear fission, where very heavy atoms release energy when they split into smaller, lighter atoms. Nuclear fusion relies on the inverse: In it, very light atoms release energy when they combine into larger atoms.
(01:26):
Specifically, the leading nuclear fusion approaches of today use hydrogen atoms, which we have in abundance on earth, as an input and produce helium, which we are in short supply of, as an output. Thus, fusion energy would be super sustainable, but not only that — it could produce an enormous amount of energy. Fusion reactions power stars including our very own sun, so having fusion reactors would be like harnessing the energy of miniature suns right here on earth. This is all super exciting. With nuclear fusion, we’d be able to supply energy to everyone on the planet without burning fossil fuels — indeed, we could use surplus energy to decarbonize our atmosphere and reverse some of the climate change damage humans have caused since the dawn of our industrial revolution.
(02:14):
So if fusion is such a game-changer for humanity, why haven’t we been focusing enormous amounts of resources on it to obtain it? Well, governments have been investing billions of dollars a year in nuclear fusion prototypes and this year, for the first time, private investment in fusion energy exceeded public investment, with $5 billion dollars of private money flowing into fusion energy companies this year alone. This suggests to me that the market has sensed that commercially viable fusion energy stations might not be too far away and so they are worth staking multi-billion-dollar bets on it.
(02:52):
The thing about harnessing a miniature sun right here on earth is that — guess what — it’s bloody hard to do. For several decades now, most of the progress toward realizing nuclear fusion has been made by gigantic operations that are funded by federal governments — operations that have the specific intent of realizing specific intermediate steps on the road to eventually achieving stable, commercial fusion energy. That brings me to the reason why I’m focused on all of this today: A paper published earlier this month in a journal called Physical Review Letters — a paper with over a thousand authors — showed that one of the most critical intermediate steps toward nuclear fusion has been achieved, something called nuclear fusion ignition.
(03:37):
Ignition is significant because it’s the point in a nuclear fusion reaction where the reaction becomes self-sustaining. At that point, external energy inputs that created the fusion reaction are no longer needed. This major event was achieved at the aptly-named National Ignition Facility in California, construction of which began 25 years ago, and the successful ignition experiment yielded many times more energy than all preceding fusion experiments there.
(04:04):
So that’s the encouraging news. To temper your excitement about the realization of fusion power in the near-term, the National Ignition Facility has thus far been unable to successfully replicate its ignition experiment. And, even though ignition was briefly achieved that one time, far more energy went into running the experiment than was produced by the fusion reaction.
(04:24):
Nevertheless, this is a big deal. The folks at the NIF are working to improve their facility and procedural designs to more reliably attain ignition and to sustain nuclear fusion for longer. And other major projects elsewhere are making progress as well. The International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER, for short), for example, a facility in France that is funded by 35 countries — including European ones, China, India, Japan, South Korea, Russia, the US, and others, they hope to attain another major benchmark called breakeven — where a fusion reaction outputs more total energy than it takes to run the experiment. They intend to do that by 2025.
(05:04):
So I’ve got a bunch of links in the show notes for you to various journal articles and episodes and websites that I mentioned in this episode. In addition, if you’d like to learn more about the exciting prospect of private investment realizing commercial nuclear fusion in the hopefully-not-too-distant future, I’ve included a link to a documentary by Bloomberg that’s available for free on YouTube.
(05:28):
All right, that’s it for today’s episode. Keep on rockin’ it out there, folks, and I’m looking forward to enjoying another round of the SuperDataScience podcast with you very soon. 
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